Investing

Why You Should Stay In Markets Despite What Is Coming

I have argued elsewhere that the risks of being out of the stock market may exceed the risks of being in it, even though a major drop may occur. This article will explore that position. Why You Should Be Concerned? Stock market investors should be wary, very wary. These times look and feel much like 1999 or 2007. The long-term [...]

Playing Financial Chicken In Your Golden Years

My generation, born during or near post World War II, has been quite fortunate. Those of us lucky to have been born in the US during this period hit a sweet spot of both place and history. The economy thrived, standards of living soared and many avoided the numerous wars that dominated the Twentieth Century. Today, the future does not [...]

Trading To Armageddon

Monty Pelerin's “Trading to Armageddon” has launched. It is an investment/trading site  focused on the need to stay in markets despite an impending economic collapse.  The Investor's Dilemma The investment world has changed. Unless you recognize this fact and adjust your investing accordingly, your results will be disappointing. Investors must become less long-term oriented and behave more like traders. The belief that [...]

Momentum Investing — III

This is the third post dealing with Momentum Investing. Please read Part I and Part II before reading this post. In order to demonstrate Momentum Investing, this website utilizes several different strategies. One, the Public Portfolio, was discussed already and is available to regular members of this site. lOnly the Premium (Full) Portfolio is currently maintained.] Premium members have access to additional [...]

Momentum Investing — II

This is Part Two of Momentum Investing. To read Part One, go here. Also see Part Three A simple example of a momentum strategy is discussed below. A small universe of ETFs (5) was chosen. Then an algorithm was designed to select the “best” one of these five to invest in for a month. At the end of each month, [...]

Momentum Investing — I

Momentum investing moves money into sectors which have performed well recently. Conversely, it removes funds from sectors which have under-performed. Underlying this strategy is the assumption that trends, once begun, continue for a while. Intuitively, the concept of momentum investing sounds plausible. Major market or sector moves, often amounting to 50% or more in a year or two, generally do [...]

No Returns This Century

[This was written in late 2012. At that time, there had been a negative return on the S&P 500.] The new year (2013) is almost here. With it comes all kinds of resolutions to improve behavior, habits and results. For investors, it is a reasonable time to review performance. Did you do well this last year? Did you lose money? [...]

Economic Armageddon Is Coming

The US and other modern industrialized nations are headed for economic collapse. Political excesses created unwieldly and insolvent social welfare states in every modern democracy. The notion of providing for those who cannot or do not provide for themselves has limits. As Lady Margaret Thatcher expressed the problem: The trouble with Socialism is, sooner or later, you run out of [...]

Investing Lessons From 2012

Joshua M. Brown provides a nice summary article of investing lessons that were reinforced for him (and should be for you) in 2012: The Six Biggest Investing Lessons of 2012 Joshua M Brown December 28th, 2012 If I should die or lose my WordPress password tomorrow, I’d be satisfied with this post being the last thing you’ve ever read from [...]

You Haven’t Made Any Money In The Stock Market This Century

The new year is almost here. With it comes all kinds of resolutions to improve behavior, habits and results. For investors, it is a reasonable time to review performance. Did you do well this last year? Did you lose money? How might you have improved your performance? These questions are natural. What is not natural is the manner in which [...]