Monty Pelerin's World

Economic, Financial and Political Analysis

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Another Nail In The Coffin — Another Swiss Banking System Capitulation

switzerSwitzerland, the land of the honest banker and honest banks, is following the path of the rest of the world by allowing “bail-ins.” Bail-ins, for those who may still now know, are what was demanded in Cyprus in order to get an ECB bailout. Bail-ins are the confiscation of all or part of bank deposits held by private individuals and corporations in a troubled bank (or banking system).

When the Swiss resort to such chicanery and theft, it is a likely sign that the financial system is irreparable. Governments seem to be recognizing that their prior efforts have not worked and cannot work and that another, bigger crisis lies ahead.

The laws being reversed in Switzerland have been on the books since 1934. Reports are that similar actions have quietly taken place in the US banking system. The notion that banks are a safe repository for your funds is rapidly being dispelled. Banks no longer appear safe.

Your mattress or traditional stores of wealth like gold appear to be the only safe alternatives. Does anyone think that the recent take-down of gold was not, at least partially, aimed at damaging this alternative? Can you have bank runs if there is no place to run?

Here is the Silver Doctors report on the Swiss change:

The Doc * Silver Doctors

The Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA) has quietly joined the growing parade of western nations who have quietly re-written banking laws to allow depositor bail-ins upon the next banking crisis. If Switzerland, the once ultimate safe haven for banking deposits across the world is preparing to confiscate depositors funds, there truly is no protection anywhere other than physical gold and silver in your own possession!

In the event that a bank is failing or where its capitalization is no longer adequate, the Swiss Financial MarketSupervisory Authority (“FINMA”) may take measures to improve such bank’s financial viability rather thanliquidating it. “Loss absorption” and “bail-in” are important instruments to support any such measures.

The Swiss document begins by advising that the FINMA now has legal authority to confiscate depositor funds, thanks to a revision of the Banking Act of 1934, completed in 2011, as well as the revision of the Bank Insolvency Ordinance completed Nov 1st 2012: 

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Government In Action — II

bureauc11Not surprisingly the government bureaucracy is not limited to the Passport Office which was discussed in Government In Action. Reader Tom Ballantyne was kind enough to reveal his recent frustrations, this with the Arizona state bureaucracy:

I just went through this in re-instating my architectural license in AZ. They wanted me to provide college transcripts, proof of registration in previous states, proof of passing the national licensing exam, and 30 year work professional experience (work) history, proof of citizenship, proof of Social Security registration, and government-provided photo ID (not necessary to vote in every state won by Barack Obama in the recent election) – all of which I had to provide 8 years ago upon being licensed initially in the state, and ALL of which is IN MY FILE in their office. The forms which they send to be re-completed are all available on-line, but cannot be filled out electronically. They have to be printed, filled in by hand (or typewriter!), scanned, printed, and mailed. (I was stunned yesterday that they let me email an additional form they requested from another state!) Meanwhile, the “supervisor” was attending a “conference” in San Francisco, or was it San Diego?

BTW, just try telling them that your birth certificate is posted on your MySpace page, and let me know how that works out for you. Oh yeah, your’re not the guy with the Connecticut Social Security Number (who couldn’t pass the Federal Government’s own E-Verify system last year), and whose Selective Service Registration is a clear forgery (both departments refusing to provide proof of original documentation, while scurrying to destroy past records – all such actions a matter of public record). Anyway, you’re not the guy walking around with the Nuclear Launch Codes (the Nuclear Football) within 20 feet of you at all times (or was it meters?), so no big deal. Oops! I got that backwards. It isn’t a big deal for HIM, but it is for those of us who hire and pay him, and to whom HE is to answer. But saying all of this only makes me a “racist” and “birther” according to the media elites in BOTH parties.

No, Monty, you and I are just people who believe that under the Rule of Law, we are all EQUAL, even if we’re not a disabled, impoverished, female, lesbian, Muslim person of color. Too bad about that “document of negative liberties”…but that apparently only applies to angry white Christian males…like those who wrote that dusty old document (found recently in a trash bin behind the Capitol!).

Tom Ballantyne – Author of Oh Really, O’Reilly! an expose of the greatest fraud and cover-up in American history, by none other than the political elites in the Republican Party and so-called “Conservative” establishment media. (Available at http://www.UncommonSenseNow.com.)

If you have a tale to tell, send it in. Or, if you have been pleasantly surprised at the service and cooperation received in dealing with government, send that in also.

How Stupid Is The American Public?

minimumwage (2)The cruelest law of all is the minimum wage. It is the most basic law of economics: if the price rises on a good (ceteris paribus, of course), then less of it will be purchased. Labor is no exception. When you raise the price (i.e., the minimum wage in this case), less labor at the low end of the skill scale will be employed. For a thorough discussion, see here.

minimumwage2es (2)In a time when our economy is struggling and teenage unemployment is through the roof (especially minorities), raising the minimum wage is the worst thing that can be done. This price control hurts the most vulnerable in society and those most in need of jobs. Yet the political class knows they can depend upon the ignorance and stupidity of the voting public. By appearing to be compassionate, they gain favor and votes. This move is not compassionate, it is harmful and destructive. There is nothing more harmful to low-skilled workers than raising the minimum wage. If it benefits politicians they don’t care what havoc and destruction they impose so long as enough of the people can be fooled.

The reality is that  Government schooling produced this situation of zero to low skills. Now government rides to the rescue by making laws that make it illegal for their damaged output to be hired. No employer will hire an employee that costs him money. Unless the employee has a reasonable chance of contributing more than he costs, he has no hope of escaping unemployment. Unskilled workers are capable of doing productive work, but not at a beginning wage set too high by politicians looking out only for themselves.  If the minimum wage is so good, why not raise it to $20.00 per hour or $50.00? Wouldn’t that erase poverty?

The answer is an emphatic no! The higher the minimum wage the more poverty and unemployment results. This “feel-good” legislation will raise unemployment. Sadly, it will also destroy lives. It effectively makes it a crime to higher willing workers with low skills. These are people who deserve better than what they received from government schools. Entering the workforce at any wage would provide the work habits and skills that would enable them to quickly go beyond their entry levels. These low-skilled workers are no different than MBAs who enter at lower wages than they will earn after training and gaining experience.

The tragedy of the minimum wage is that it ruins lives. It condemns many to a lifetime of unemployment, welfare and living a life equivalent to a ward of the state. These “compassionate” politicians don’t care how much damage they do so long as you are too ignorant to see through their scheme. They want your vote. So long as you are ignorant enough to believe they are doing compassionate and generous things, they will continue to destroy lives.

This survey from Rasmussen is confirmation of the appalling economic ignorance of the American public.

54% Favor Raising Minimum Wage to $9 An Hour

Most voters don’t think the minimum wage is enough to live on and support President Obama’s proposal to raise it from $7.25 an hour to $9 an hour. They’re more narrowly divided, however, when asked if hiking the minimum wage will be good for the economy. Read More

mencken2With every passing day, the American public makes H. L. Mencken appear to have been more of a genius than he possibly was. His evaluations of the public were merciless. Here are but a couple of his pronouncements:

Democracy is a pathetic belief in the collective wisdom of individual ignorance.

Democracy is the theory that the common people know what they want, and deserve to get it good and hard.

Mencken must be chuckling from his grave at the situation we allowed our criminal class politicians to impose on us. Even he probably could not have imagined how dumbed-down the government has made recent generations. Make no mistake, it is government and its policies responsible. Despite all the blather about education, our criminal class is quite content with having stupid constituents. An educated public would have ridden these crooks out of town on a rail.

“There’s nothing more portable than a millionaire and his money.”

capitalflight123(2)A recent post on capital flight dealt with its leaving the country to destinations where it is treated better. The capital referred to included both physical and human capital.

Capital does not have to flee the country for harm to occur. It merely has to flee the areas where it is under attack. With regard to human capital, that might mean working less or stopping work altogether. Higher taxes on effort is a penalty. Anything you penalize you get less of. 

If it is physical or monetary capital to the extent possible it will be re-deployed to areas not under attack. That could mean removing it from risk ventures, placing it in tax-favored assets such as municipal bonds or any number of other areas. Because this capital was originally invested where it could do the most good, any re-deployment produces a less optimal use of a country's resources. That harms not only the owner of the capital but all of society.

Society in terms of consumers voting with their dollars determine what it wants. Entrepreneurs merely adapt to these wants and provide the goods. When government intervenes against capital, it is actually attacking the wants and wishes of society. Society is always made poorer by any intervention. 

This discussion is likely foreign to those who have never run a business, especially the untalented bureaucrats who now run much of our lives. For entrepreneurs, it is easily understood because it reflects the manner in which they approach every decision. Despite interventions, entrepreneurs will survive. They will find gaps in the best designed plans or legislation. 535 legislators are no match for millions of creative people. The law of unintended consequences exists only as a result of the hubris of government.

Entrepreneurs adjust their behavior and fill niches the law never saw or forgot. They thrive in these interstices. This foresight and adaptability is their defining characteristic. Unfortunately, most of us are not entrepreneurs. Government interventions for us mean closed doors to opportunities that would have been available. 

The truly talented and successful are the ones who create jobs for the rest of us. Punishing them is worse than shooting yourself in the foot; it is more like shooting yourself in the head (but of course with a non-assault weapon). 

Debra J. Saunders highlights one example of how the talented and successful react in her piece entitled He's Mad as Hell and Not Going to Invest Anymore. For those who have difficulty comprehending the abstract logic of why capital flees, experiential accounts like Ms. Saunders are educational and likely eye-opening. 

Here are a few excerpts from her article:

Lizt explained that he liked Obama's tax plan because it would prompt him to shutter his business, move his money into low-risk investments and give less to charity — while he would devote his time to traveling the globe with his fiancee, Rachel Martin.

Following up after the tax increase, Ms. Saunders learns that Mr. Litz was working his plan: 

[He] told me that he and Rachel had just returned from a two-month trip around the world. He told me he had closed down his business that invested in small-capital concerns that created jobs, even medical breakthroughs.

"We did very creative work," Lizt said. "Now we're just going to do very boring conservative land investment."

"Maybe I'll never have income again," Lizt told me. "That's the way I want it. 'No Income Norman.'"

leisureincomeThe tragedy of this situation, and millions more like it, is that it harms society. It may feel good to "punish" the rich, but why do they deserve to be punished? Are the rich not contributing more to society than any other group? Even if it were determined that they deserved punishment, is it even possible to inflict it effectively? Is it worth attempting to punish the rich when your actions inflict greater harm on the rest of society? These are questions demagogues never address and should be required to answer. 

Whether just or not, inflicting punishment on the rich is difficult. They have great flexibility in adjusting their behavior. They generally are smarter than those wishing to punish them. They are also clever enough to conform to the new rules and regulations if they so choose. If they don't see rewards commensurate with their efforts, they will cut back on their efforts. In some cases they will just say the hell with it and walk away as Mr. Lizt did. 

One difference between America and third-world countries is that we used to encourage people to become rich. In doing so, they dragged the rest of us along with them. The nation, as a result of their drive and many others aspiring for such success, became both great and wealthy. Goods, services, jobs and breakthroughs never imagined by earlier generations were created. In societies where the rich are discouraged and punished, growth and wealth-creation barely exists.  

The rich create wealth for themselves and wealth for the rest of us. Their success improves all of our lives. Bill Gates, as an example, probably did more for America (and the world) than all government programs combined. 

Punishing the rich makes no sense. The rich merely adjust their behavior and serve us less or not at all. The punishment is ultimately inflicted on us. 

The title is a quote from Senator Bob Huff that was used in Ms. Saunders article.

Gun Laws and Crazies

batesmotel (2)I gunsdon’t like guns. I would prefer they didn’t exist. But they do and to pretend otherwise is foolish.  But to pretend that you can legislate away guns is equally foolish. “Crazies” exist and it is crazies not guns that create problems. Even if one could eliminate guns (not possible), you haven’t solved the underlying problem. Guns are merely the tool of choice. Without guns, crazies will turn to other tools.

Washington will not make matters better with new legislation. Arguably political correctness (not being able to identify crazies) is responsible for much of the problem. Political correctness ensures that will not change and that guns will be blamed. Any action taken with respect to guns misses the cause(s) of the problem. More bad, politically correct, legislation is all that will come from our political fools.

Dean Weingarten makes a case for gun laws making matters worse rather than better. I have not checked his history or claims. Perhaps knowledgeable readers might agree or disagree with his presentation of history:

Disastrous Gun Law Sparked School Shootings

From 1900 to the late 1990’s, there were no mass shootings in schools. Lest it be thought that guns were uncommon in schools, that was not the case. Guns were commonly brought to school for shooting competitions, hunting after school, for teachers to trade or show to each other or their students, or for show and tell. Guns were even made in shop class under the supervision of the shop teacher. Guns were common in gun racks in pickup trucks in the school parking lot. Even today, many schools provide special dispensation for students to take off from school for deer hunting season.During the height of gun control fever during the first Bush Presidency, the Congress passed the Gun Free School Zones act of 1990. It was designed to make it impossible for ordinary people to carry guns most places, because it forbid the carrying of guns within a thousand feet of a school. If you overlap the 1000 foot gun free zones that surround schools in most cities and towns, no one can go about their daily business without intersecting one of these zones at some time.

The Gun Free School Zone act was quickly challenged in the courts, and found to be unconstitutional by the Supreme Court under the interstate commerce clause, in U.S. v. Lopez, 1995. The reasoning was simple: If merely possessing a gun within a thousand feet of a school was interstate commerce, and therefore subject to federal regulation, what could possibly be construed as not interstate commerce? Virtually everything would then be controlled by the federal government. As the Constitution means something, the interstate commerce clause must mean something. If all of life can be controlled by the federal government, the clause means nothing.

President Clinton blew a gasket when the Gun Free School Zone act was found unconstitutional. He fiercely lobbied congress to pass a replica act, slightly modified. He threatened to keep congress from adjourning to go home to run for office if they did not pass the replica act. They passed the new Gun Free School Zone act in 1996. Since then, federal prosecutors have been very careful not to prosecute many cases under the act, not wanting to present the Supreme Court with another test case.

The results of the Gun Free School Zone act’s passage have been devastating. The first mass shooting in a school since before 1900 occurred in 1997. As prominent researcher John Lott has noted, mass shooters are attracted to defenseless victim zones. While zones that ban armed citizens are a tiny percentage of the nation’s area, according to Lott, only one of the “successful” (four or more victims) mass shootings in the past thirty years occurred outside of a defenseless victim zone (gun free zone).

Why do mass shooters chose defenseless victim zones? Because they want the fame that goes with the media attention that a mass killer gets, and to get the attention, they have to kill a lot of people. If they are stopped by an armed citizen, they lose their chance to make the “record books”, and there is no point in mass killing.

Armed citizens stop about one in ten of mass killings before they become “successful”, but they are rarely mentioned because of this fact. Most of these life saving actions occur outside of defenseless victim zones.

Mass Killings Stopped by Armed Citizens Link

We have a real world counterexample to the Gun Free School Zone act in Israel. Israelis were confronted with a similar problem after the Maalot massacre in the 1970s They responded by allowing teachers, responsible older students, and volunteer parents to be armed in their schools. They have not had a child shot in a school since.

Israeli School Solution Link

Since the Gun Free School Zone act was passed for the second time in 1996, 13 mass school shootings have occurred. This unconstitutional law has been a disaster and should be repealed.

 

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