Monty Pelerin's World

Economics, Finance and Politics Through The Prism of Classical Liberalism

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Political Parisitology

On Thursday, the Dow was off about 500 points in the first hour, presumably based on fears of European bank and sovereign failures.

The talking heads on CNBC were beside themselves, rationalizing what was happening and what should be done — the Federal Reserve should initiate QE3, more fiscal stimulus should be used, etc. etc. All spoke of the need for government solutions and quick actions.

By 10:30 I could take no more of “the government must do something.” Governments cannot solve this problem. They caused it! Intervening will only make the problem worse.

There is an inherent problem in government, all governments. It leads to situations like the current one and then progresses to much worse. This problem, discussed below, eventually leads to the collapse of economies if not civilizations.

Politics As A Form of Parisitism

The definition of a parasite is “an organism that spends a significant portion of its life in or on the living tissue of a host organism and which causes harm to the host without immediately killing it.” Parisitology is the study of parasites.

The definition of a parasite sounds like a perfect description of what government has become. The political class, its cronies and its dependents are parasites. The host is the productive sector of the economy. One lives at the expense of the other. One is “taking,” the other “making.”

Parisitology appears to be a subject that should be an added requirement for Political Science (one of my favorite oxymorons). The notion of government preying on the productive is hardly a new concept. Cautions are easily found:

Thomas Jefferson observed:

If we can prevent the government from wasting the labors of the people, under the pretence of taking care of them, they must become happy. … I think we have more machinery of government than is necessary, too many parasites living on the labor of the industrious.

Bastiat

More than 150 years ago, Frederic Bastiat commented on what he saw happening in France:

It is easy to understand why the law is used by the legislator to destroy in varying degrees among the rest of the people their personal independence by slavery, their liberty by oppression, and their property by plunder. This is done for the benefit of the person who makes the law, and in proportion to the power that he holds.

Even the fall of Rome, widely attributed to “bread and circuses,” attracted Will Rogers’ attention:

 Ancient Rome declined because it had a Senate, now what’s going to happen to us with both a House and a Senate?”

The parasite-host analogy would seem to be a reasonable basis for a general theory explaining the rise and fall of civilizations. Assuming someone has not already milked it, it could make an interesting dissertation topic. However, in most academic settings implicating the State in the failure of civilizations could jeopardize your career.

The State of the US

In the US, as in Europe, parasites have increasingly drained vitality from the productive class. This process began virtually from inception of the country. Initially the efforts and effects were imperceptible. Over time the boldness and number of parasites increased. Today, under the guise of social welfare and military adventurism, the productive host’s survival is in jeopardy. Economic death is looming unless current trends are reversed soon and dramatically.

The recent debt ceiling debacle was an opportunity to address the problem. The effort, instead, became a political charade. Ultimately it strengthened the parasites, again, by further weakening the host. Zerohedge pointed out:

This debate is not about saving our economy or our global credit standing. This debate is about choosing our method of poison, and nothing more. That is to say, the outcome of the current “political clash” is irrelevant. Our economy was set on the final leg of total destabilization back in 2008, and no amount of spending reform, higher taxes, or austerity measures, are going to change that eventuality.

Rejuvenation of the host is possible, but it will not happen. The reasons are not economic but political. Even if control of Congress and the Presidency shifts to the Republicans, it will not matter. Both political parties are parasitic. Only their genus differs, and that is more marketing than substantive.

One may reasonably infer from the outcome of the debt charade that an implicit decision was made to kill the host. There were no spending cuts. There was hardly a slowdown in the planned rate of spending. Nor was any mechanism put in place to ensure that real cuts, if agreed upon, would be implemented by future Congresses.

Politics and Motivations

Politicians, unlike actual parasites, generally understand the ramifications of decisions. Other than those with IQs below room temperature (make your own estimate of how many that be), politicians know the precarious condition of the host.

Is it rational for an understanding parasite to destroy the host upon which it feeds? After all, if the host dies, so do the parasites.

Public Choice theory argues that politicians behave no differently than ordinary people. Motivations are not suddenly changed upon entering government. Self-interest is still the driver whether in or out of government.

Self-interest in government is especially troublesome because constraints imposed by markets are absent in government.  Those in power are constrained only by the laws they impose upon themselves and periodic ballot box judgments. The power of incumbency suggests the latter is of limited effect. If self-interest conflicts with public service and laws are ineffective, self-interest is served.

Non-economist David Brin suggests politicians have less character than the average citizen. He attributes this to a perverse self-selection process:

It is said that power corrupts, but actually it’s more true that power attracts the corruptible. The sane are usually attracted by other things than power.

Albert J. Nock preceded David Brin and was even more damning in his assessment of the political class:

Taking the State wherever found, striking into its history at any point, one sees no way to differentiate the activities of its founders, administrators and beneficiaries from those of a professional-criminal class

Public Choice theory does not depend upon the political class being evil. The argument rests on self-interest, regardless of the character of the person.

Parasite Irrationality

If Public Choice theory is valid (and it is), how does one explain the unwillingness of the political class to save the host? When the host dies, so do the parasites. Do we have an instance here where politicians are not acting in their own self-interest?

The answer is that political parasites are acting rationally by allowing the host to perish. The key to understanding this anomaly is that curing the host would require radical medicine in the form of massive spending cuts. These cuts would require dismantling of various entitlements and much of the welfare state. Even with this medicine, it might be too little, too late to succeed.

The reason that the cure will not even be tried is that any attempt to do so would be politically fatal for whoever proposed it. Voters believe that government is the source of free goodies. Too many believe they are entitled to be supported by government. Anyone proposing meaningful spending cuts would likely be subjected to political execution at the earliest election.

Nothing is more valued to the political mind than attaining and retaining office. That is why the debt ceiling deal was such a fraud. Neither party pushed for meaningful spending cuts. Both postured for voters. Both wanted a new credit card and got the largest one ever issued.

Political parasites rationally chose to continue the plunder and exploitation knowing that it ensured long-term death of the host. In classic Keynesian short-termism (“in the long-run we are all dead”), politicians chose to remain in the trough to continue feeding on the host.

The decision to destroy the host may not seem rational to the rest of us, but it is clearly in the best interest of the current parasites. Death for them at some future uncertain date is a better than death at the next election. They chose what was in their best interest but not the country’s.

Until the host dies, the current parasites will exploit for as long as they can. They have chosen a form of Kevorkian economics, managed suicide for the host economy. Unlike Kevorkian, they intend to keep the host alive as long as possible, enabling them to maximize their time in the trough.

The rest of us will be left to pick up the pieces when the collapse occurs. The parasites will be dead in a political sense but likely living in a different country.

Government is the problem, everywhere.

This post originally appeared on American Thinker

 

Whom Do You Believe?

H/T to EBW for providing this chart and his comment:  ”Adjusted for inflation, the Dow Jones is about equal to where it was in 1991. Stock market gains have been due to nothing but inflation.”

For those unfamiliar with Shadowstats.com, I encourage you to visit the website. John Williams is a statistician who has tracked the CPI index and adjusted it for all changes government has made over the years. The green line below is, according to Mr. Williams, what the inflation-adjusted Dow would look like had government kept definitions constant.

Another way to interpret this chart is that about 50% of what the government says is the Dow adjusted for CPI represents government adjustments (lies).

A wounded animal will do anything to survive. Lies are minor.

Where is H. L. Mencken When We Really Need Him?

H/T to Steve Bartin for the following:

Here’s a great quote from H.L. Mencken:

“The government consists of a gang of men exactly like you and me. They have, taking one with another, no special talent for the business of government; they have only a talent for getting and holding office. Their principal device to that end is to search out groups who pant and pine for something they can’t get and to promise to give it to them. Nine times out of ten that promise is worth nothing. The tenth time is made good by looting A to satisfy B. In other words, government is a broker in pillage, and every election is sort of an advance auction sale of stolen goods.”

Theft is theft.

The Inevitability of Another Great Depression

I have argued that we are in or inevitably headed for another Great Depression and there is no way to avoid it. Mathematically, we passed the tipping point several years ago.

As Charles Hugh Smith put it in a must-read article:

… the Status Quo is now addicted to unlimited flows of free credit issued by central banks. If the flow continues, then inflation will destabilize it; if it’s cut off, then rising interest payments will destabilize it. No matter what policy path is taken, the result is the same: instability and destabilization.

Mr. Smith is more cautious in his terminology than I, claiming that “instability and destabilization” will be the inevitable end result. I suppose that provides a reasonably wide and euphemistic projection for even the worst outcomes.

I prefer to be more blunt and not at all euphemistic! We are headed for a Great Depression. The only choice government has at this point is how we enter the Depression. If they stop stimulus and money printing, GDP collapses and we enter a classic deflationary Depression. If they continue to stimulate via spending or money printing, extremely high inflation (possibly hyperinflation) destroys the nest eggs of savers and those dependent on fixed incomes. Markets eventually cease to perform efficiently when people refuse to accept money. That brings upon an inflationary collapse which produces, in the end, the same deflationary Depression.

Government is in a classic “do you want to pay me now or pay me later?” situation. Economically it is better to pay now so that people have some resources left to protect themselves. Politically, it is better to pay later, even though it wipes out the wealth of the middle class. It should not be too difficult to guess which ending the government is aiming at.

The moral and ethical code of people was much stronger in the 1930s. There was no entitlement mentality that caused them to rebel or attack other citizens like we are beginning to see in London and other places around the world. That will not be the way matters play out this time.

Entitlement Will Be Served

The welfare state destroys capital and productivity. Worse than that it destroys the will and self-worth of individuals.

Joel Bowman wrote a piece dealing with this issue and the clue-lessness of the deep thinkers:

Thousands of social media comments express shock and amazement that a place like London – so civilized, so “first world” – could descend into such chaos. But this is no chance event. England is a socialist state, like most mature, aging western nations. It is a toad in search of a tire…a “bug in search of a windshield,” as John Mauldin puts it. As such, it is a breeding ground for ne’re-do-wells, grifters, layabouts, leeches, social parasites and welfare recipients of all stripes. These individuals, guided by the blinding force of mob mentality, are simply doing what the state conditioned them to do: They are trying to get something for nothing. They are the violent sons begat of a violent institution. And they’re giving anarchists a bad name.

This same mentality exists in the US. It is merely a matter of time until we experience similar rioting, looting and senselessness. The entitlement mentality will not be extinguished merely because government runs out of money. Tribute will then be exacted from whomever is unfortunate enough to be nearby.

Probable Cautions on SLV and GLD

I haven’t had the time to read through this report on precious metals ETFs. I send it out in advance because it will likely be a couple of days before I get to it.

I have warned on several occasions about the potential “Madoff” risk of these ETFs. I believe this report should be read to enlighten holders as to this potential. It also  seems to deal with regulatory compliance and potential conflicts of interest.

One of the authors is Catherine Austin Fitts whose work is generally first rate. Here is the Preface to the report:

This article was inspired by a conversation in January 2010 with fellow directors of the Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee: Chairman Bill Murphy, Secretary/Treasurer Chris Powell, and Directors Adrian Douglas and Ed Steer. In speaking about the growing role of the exchange traded funds in the precious metals market, it was clear that the disclosure that the precious metals ETFs described below were providing to investors was inadequate. However, was there a material omission under securities law? I found the issues complex. Understanding the commodities markets can seem daunting to someone like myself with a securities background. Meanwhile, the securities markets and related legal and regulatory issues can be unfamiliar to those with a background in commodities. I decided to ask my attorney to help me gather the relevant information into one document to make it easier for GATA supporters and other interested parties—whether from the commodities or securities markets—to examine these issues and to better understand and price these securities.

- Catherine Austin Fitts

I am sure many readers hold positions in these ETFs so any interpretations by readers will be welcome. If there are enough, I shall consolidate them into a post with proper credit attributed.

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