The following polling numbers should strike fear into Democrats:
The poll from Gallup via Ace of Spades shows him behind Jimmy Carter at the same point in time in the Presidential cycle. No president in the era of modern polling has ever been re-elected with a rating this low.
What makes these numbers even more encouraging for the opposition is the tendency for some pollsters to overweight their polls with registered Democrats. More pollsters exist than necessary and all don’t have the same methodology, skills or integrity as the better ones. It would be interesting to see how Obama’s number would be affected if, say, the historically most accurate four or five best polling organizations were used.