Oct 082010
 

Chris Whalen is one of the most astute banking analysts. His views are important.

The banking system is in deep trouble. There has been no banking recovery, merely a coverup. The banking industry is insolvent and likely headed for another collapse.

Here are Whalen’s latest conclusions from his latest report:

Conclusions (1)
  • The U.S. banking industry is entering a new period of crisis where operating costs are rising dramatically due to foreclosures and defaults. We are less than ¼ of the way through the foreclosure process. Laurie Goodman of Amherst Securities predicts that 1 in 5 mortgages could go into foreclosure without radical action.
  • Rising operating costs in banks will be more significant than in past recessions and could force the U.S. government to restructure some large lenders as expenses overwhelm revenue. BAC, JPM, GMAC foreclosure moratoriums only the start of the crisis that threatens the financial foundations of the entire U.S. political economy.

Conclusions (1)•The U.S. banking industry is entering a new period of crisis where operating costs are rising dramatically due to foreclosures and defaults. We are less than ¼ of the way through the foreclosure process. Laurie Goodman of Amherst Securities predicts that 1 in 5 mortgages could go into foreclosure without radical action.•Rising operating costs in banks will be more significant than in past recessions and could force the U.S. government to restructure some large lenders as expenses overwhelm revenue. BAC, JPM, GMAC foreclosure moratoriums only the start of the crisis that threatens the financial foundations of the entire U.S. political economy.

Conclusions (2)

  • The largest U.S. banks remain insolvent and must continue to shrink. Failure by the Obama Administration to restructure the largest banks during 2007‐2009 period only means that this process is going to occur over next three to five years –whether we like it or not. The issue is recognizing existing losses ‐‐not if a loss occurred.
  • Impending operational collapse of some of the largest U.S. banks will serve as the catalyst for re‐creation of RFC‐type liquidation vehicle(s) to handle the operational task of finally deflating the subprime bubble. End of the liquidation cycle of the deflating bubble will arrive in another four to five years.

  One Response to “Large Banks Heading for Collapse”

  1. How timely this post, with today’s (Sat) announcement by B of A of their moratorium on foreclosures. How long can they and the other largest banks withstand the effects of the moratorium. And, of course, this kicking the can down the road only compounds their certain liquidity issues. Where do we go from there? A hate to think of the future implications……

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