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Pew Research suggests that incumbents are headed for a difficult election in 2010. Some may take this as good news. If you believe the system still works, that is a reasonable reaction. I have a more pessimistic view. Without the institutional constraints that were provided by the Constitution, it doesn’t matter who you elect. The newcomers will abuse their office as badly as their predecessors. Perhaps not initially, but eventually. When the Rule of Law is gone, we are left with the Rule of Man. There are no limits to the madness that one man can invent to “improve” the lives of others. I don’t know what the answer is, or indeed if there is an answer, to solving this problem. Here is the American Thinkers report on the poll.

November 12, 2009

A year out, anti-incumbent tide is growing

Rick Moran

A new Pew Research survey has some very grim news for incumbents; a definite “throw the rascals out” mood is overtaking the country, with the all important independent bloc leading the way:

About half (52%) of registered voters would like to see their own representative re-elected next year, while 34% say that most members of Congress should be re-elected. Both measures are among the most negative in two decades of Pew Research surveys. Other low points were during the 1994 and 2006 election cycles, when the party in power suffered large losses in midterm elections.Support for congressional incumbents is particularly low among political independents. Only 42% of independent voters want to see their own representative re-elected and just 25% would like to see most members of Congress re-elected. Both measures are near all-time lows in Pew Research surveys.

The latest survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted Oct. 28-Nov. 8 among 2,000 Americans reached on landlines and cell phones, finds that voting intentions for next year’s midterms are largely unchanged from August. Currently, 47% of registered voters say they would vote for the Democratic candidate in their district or lean Democratic, while 42% would vote for the Republican or lean to the GOP candidate. In August, 45% favored the Democrat in their district and 44% favored the Republican.

This confirms what other polls, including Gallup, have discovered; the voters believe nothing is working, nothing is being done, and they’re mad as hell about it.

That sentiment is only bound to get worse as unemployment continues to rise and the voters begin to realize just how bad a boondoggle national health insurance is. With independents abandoning the Democrats, the prospects for solid, even spectacular gains by Republicans in 2010 are becoming more realistic.

Page Printed from: http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2009/11/a_year_out_anitincumbent_tide.html at November 12, 2009 – 02:21:01 PM EST

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